Pavano
Each time I see this guy pitch in 2010, I like the signing more and more. We always joke that the Twins will stop at nothing to ensure that there is a veteran presence in the starting rotation (see: Hernandez, Livan). This time, though, I think they might have done it right. Sure, the fact that they payed three or four million more than they usually allot for their ‘veteran pitcher of the year’ probably has something to do with it, but I think it’ll be worth it.
I don’t see Pavano as a top of the rotation guy, but he’s looking a little more like “Florida Marlins Pavano” than “Bruised Buttocks Pavano”. He’ll have some games where nothing’s working and he gets hammered, but he will also turn out some games like the gem he pitched last night. (I think I just fell in love with Baseball-Reference’s box scores.)
Both my fiancee and my roommate are huge Yankees fans, so I’ve been conditioned to think of Pavano as a selfish, fragile piece of garbage (to put it nicely). In Minnesota, he’s been everything but. If I were to guess, I’d say he feels more comfortable with the Twins than he did in New York; it’s possible he just cracked under the pressure of being Yankee. I predict that he will have a solid year and come up big when we need him.
I have always believed that a team needs three pitchers to come up big for them in the post season for them to have any chance at the Series. Pavano and Blackburn might not have the best stuff of the staff, but I definitely think they have the mentality to be the Twins “Big Game” pitchers. Couple them with a confident and nasty Liriano, I think the rotation might be in good shape. Call me crazy, but I’d feel pretty confident going against the Yankees in the ALDS with a rotation of Pavano, Liriano, Blackburn. Baker and Slowey have great command and can miss some bats, but I’m not sure if they can be solid in the playoffs. They are both fly-ball heavy pitchers, and fly-balls tend to turn into home runs when facing the best teams in the league.
Twins News one year ago today: Mauer making strides in recovery for Twins
Imagine how many more games they can win with a full season of Mauer and middle infielders that can actually hit.
2010 Predictions
It’s prediction day! Here’s my predictions for the 2010 season:
Twins-Specific Predictions
Twins MVP: Jason Kubel – I’m predicting he figures out lefties and gets his average well above .300
Twins Top Pitcher: Francisco Liriano – The Franchise is back!
Twins Best Rookie: Wilson Ramos – I’m going to predict Gardy gets his wish and Ramos plays a good chunk of the season in Minnesota after raking in Rochester during the spring months
Twins Most Improved Player: Delmon Young – I’m going to say his streamlined mechanics help him make more contact
Bold Predictions: Anthony Slama is closing games in September
A.L. Central Prediction :
- Minnesota
- Chicago
- Detroit
- Kansas City
- Cleveland
Three Keys to Success for the Twins: Health. They can’t really afford to lose more than one starting pitcher for a significant amount of time.
Rest of the League Predictions
A.L. MVP: Mark Teixeira, NYY
N.L. MVP: Albert Pujols, STL
A.L. Cy Young: Zack Greinke, KC
N.L. Cy Young: Adam Wainwright, STL
A.L. Rookie of the Year: Brian Matusz, BAL
N.L. Rookie of the Year: Alcides Escobar, MIL
A.L. Breakout Player of the Year: Travis Snider, TOR
N.L. Breakout Player of the Year: Carlos Gomez, MIL
A.L. Comeback Player of the Year: Dontrelle Willis, DET
N.L. Comeback Player of the Year: Jose Reyes, NYM
A.L. Playoff Predictions:
- ALDS – Twins over Yankees, Rangers over Red Sox
- ALCS – Twins over Rangers
N.L. Playoff Predictions:
- NLDS – Braves over Giants, Cardinals over Phillies
- NLCS – Braves over Cards
World Series Prediction:
- Twins over Braves in seven.